Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000881 0.000917 0.000955 0.000995 0.001038 0.001083 0.001132
2025-10-19 0.000820 0.000873 0.000929 0.000993 0.001063 0.001139 0.001227
2025-10-26 0.000768 0.000833 0.000903 0.000985 0.001077 0.001181 0.001305
2025-11-02 0.000734 0.000808 0.000889 0.000987 0.001101 0.001231 0.001393
2025-11-09 0.000698 0.000777 0.000867 0.000976 0.001107 0.001260 0.001456
2025-11-16 0.000667 0.000750 0.000846 0.000964 0.001109 0.001283 0.001512
2025-11-23 0.000654 0.000744 0.000848 0.000980 0.001144 0.001346 0.001619
2025-11-30 0.000637 0.000731 0.000841 0.000983 0.001163 0.001389 0.001703
2025-12-07 0.000614 0.000709 0.000823 0.000970 0.001161 0.001405 0.001750
2025-12-14 0.000591 0.000687 0.000803 0.000955 0.001154 0.001412 0.001785
2025-12-21 0.000574 0.000671 0.000790 0.000947 0.001156 0.001432 0.001837
2025-12-28 0.000546 0.000641 0.000758 0.000914 0.001122 0.001401 0.001815
2026-01-04 0.000533 0.000629 0.000749 0.000910 0.001129 0.001426 0.001878
2026-01-11 0.000520 0.000618 0.000740 0.000907 0.001136 0.001452 0.001942
2026-01-18 0.000507 0.000605 0.000729 0.000899 0.001136 0.001467 0.001991
2026-01-25 0.000498 0.000598 0.000724 0.000901 0.001149 0.001502 0.002072
2026-02-01 0.000485 0.000585 0.000712 0.000891 0.001146 0.001512 0.002114
2026-02-08 0.000473 0.000572 0.000700 0.000881 0.001141 0.001520 0.002153
2026-02-15 0.000470 0.000572 0.000705 0.000894 0.001171 0.001580 0.002283
2026-02-22 0.000464 0.000567 0.000702 0.000897 0.001185 0.001617 0.002375
2026-03-01 0.000452 0.000555 0.000690 0.000886 0.001178 0.001622 0.002410
2026-03-08 0.000441 0.000542 0.000676 0.000872 0.001166 0.001617 0.002430
2026-03-15 0.000432 0.000534 0.000668 0.000866 0.001165 0.001630 0.002480